Carbon-hungry plants impede growth rate of atmospheric CO2
November 8, 2016
New findings suggest the rate at which CO2 is accumulating in the
atmosphere has plateaued in recent years because Earth's vegetation is
grabbing more carbon from the air than in previous decades.
That's the conclusion of a new multi-institutional study led by a scientist
from the Department of Energy's Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory
(Berkeley Lab). It's based on extensive ground and
atmospheric observations of CO2,
satellite measurements of vegetation, and computer
modeling. The research is published online Nov. 8 in the journal Nature
Communications.
To be clear, human activity continues to emit increasing amounts of
carbon, and the atmospheric concentration of CO2, now at 400
parts per million (ppm), continues to rise. But the scientists found that
between 2002 and 2014, the rate at which CO2 increased in the
atmosphere held steady at about 1.9 ppm/year. In addition, the proportion
of the CO2 emitted annually by human activity that remains in the atmosphere
declined by about 20 percent. This slowdown can't keep pace
with emissions, so the overall amount of
human-caused CO2 in the atmosphere increased, just not as quickly. And for
that, new research suggests, we can thank plants.
"This highlights the need to identify and protect ecosystems where the
carbon
sink is growing rapidly," says Trevor Keenan, a research scientist in
Berkeley Lab's Climate & Ecosystem Sciences Division and the corresponding
author of the paper.
The scientists attribute the stalled CO2 growth rate to an uptick in
land-based photosynthetic activity, fueled by rising CO2 levels from fossil
fuel emissions. It's a snowball effect: as CO2 levels rise in the atmosphere,
photosynthetic activity flourishes and plants take in more carbon, sparking
more plant growth, more photosynthesis, and more carbon uptake.
They also identified another player. Plant respiration, a process in which
plants use oxygen and produce CO2, did not increase as quickly as
photosynthesis in recent years. This is because plant respiration is sensitive
to temperature, and it was affected by the recent slowdown in global warming
that was observed most significantly over vegetated land. So, between 2002 and
2014, plants took in more CO2 through photosynthesis, but did not "exhale"
more CO2 into the atmosphere through respiration.
"These changes decreased the amount of anthropogenic CO2 that stays in the
atmosphere, and thus slowed the accumulation of atmospheric CO2," says Keenan.
Their findings provide a possible answer to a climatic mystery. The growth
rate of atmospheric CO2 climbed steadily during the latter half of the 20th
century, from 0.75 ppm/year in 1959 to 1.86 ppm/year in 2002. But Keenan and
colleagues discovered an inflection point last year when they analyzed the
latest data from the Global Carbon Project, which quantifies carbon emissions
and their sources annually. Since 2002, the growth rate has remained flat.
This pause is especially surprising because it has occurred as human
activity pumps more and more carbon into the atmosphere. All that CO2 must be
going somewhere, so the scientists suspected something about the carbon cycle
has recently changed in a big way.
"We believed one of the planet's main carbon sinks had unexpectedly
strengthened. The question was: which one?" says Keenan.
The scientists ruled out oceans as a dominant cause because most computer
models agree the amount of carbon taken in by oceans has increased steadily in
recent years. That left terrestrial ecosystems, which undergo a large
year-to-year variability in carbon uptake, and the two biggest influences on
this variability are photosynthesis and plant respiration.
To study these influences, the scientists used ten "global dynamic
vegetation models" that predict how the terrestrial carbon cycle changes over
time.
They also used a model that incorporates satellite measurements of
vegetation cover and plant activity to predict global photosynthesis and
respiration rates. They validated the model by comparing its results
with data from AmeriFlux and FLUXNET, which are
networks of eddy-covariance research towers that measure ecosystem carbon,
water, and energy fluxes in North and South America. Berkeley Lab manages
AmeriFlux for the Department of Energy.
Model projections were generated using different scenarios of atmospheric
CO2 level, temperature, soil moisture, and other processes. This enabled the
researchers to evaluate the impacts of these processes on the planet's
terrestrial carbon cycle.
Taken together, the models zeroed in on rising CO2 levels as having the
biggest impact on photosynthesis and plant respiration. The result is a boost
in terrestrial carbon uptake, particularly in tropical and high-latitude
ecosystems. Specifically, the models suggest rising CO2 levels caused
terrestrial ecosystems to double the rate at which they take in carbon, from
between one and two petagrams of carbon per year in the 1950s, to between two
and four petagrams of carbon per year in the 2000s. For comparison, human
activity emits between nine and ten petagrams of carbon per year (one petagram
is one trillion kilograms).
The scientists conclude this increase in carbon uptake put the brakes on
the growth rate of atmospheric CO2 between 2002 and 2014.
"Unfortunately, this increase is nowhere near enough to stop climate
change," says Keenan, adding that their results answer questions and pose new
ones. "We've shown the increase in terrestrial carbon uptake is happening, and
with a plausible explanation why. But we don't
know exactly where the carbon sink is increasing the most, how long this
increase will last, or what it means for the future of Earth's climate."
Carbon-hungry plants impede growth rate of atmospheric CO2
November 8, 2016
New findings suggest the rate at which CO2 is accumulating in the
atmosphere has plateaued in recent years because Earth's vegetation is
grabbing more carbon from the air than in previous decades.
That's the conclusion of a new multi-institutional study led by a scientist
from the Department of Energy's Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory
(Berkeley Lab). It's based on extensive ground and
atmospheric observations of CO2,
satellite measurements of vegetation, and computer
modeling. The research is published online Nov. 8 in the journal Nature
Communications.
To be clear, human activity continues to emit increasing amounts of
carbon, and the atmospheric concentration of CO2, now at 400
parts per million (ppm), continues to rise. But the scientists found that
between 2002 and 2014, the rate at which CO2 increased in the
atmosphere held steady at about 1.9 ppm/year. In addition, the proportion
of the CO2 emitted annually by human activity that remains in the atmosphere
declined by about 20 percent. This slowdown can't keep pace
with emissions, so the overall amount of
human-caused CO2 in the atmosphere increased, just not as quickly. And for
that, new research suggests, we can thank plants.
"This highlights the need to identify and protect ecosystems where the
carbon
sink is growing rapidly," says Trevor Keenan, a research scientist in
Berkeley Lab's Climate & Ecosystem Sciences Division and the corresponding
author of the paper.
The scientists attribute the stalled CO2 growth rate to an uptick in
land-based photosynthetic activity, fueled by rising CO2 levels from fossil
fuel emissions. It's a snowball effect: as CO2 levels rise in the atmosphere,
photosynthetic activity flourishes and plants take in more carbon, sparking
more plant growth, more photosynthesis, and more carbon uptake.
They also identified another player. Plant respiration, a process in which
plants use oxygen and produce CO2, did not increase as quickly as
photosynthesis in recent years. This is because plant respiration is sensitive
to temperature, and it was affected by the recent slowdown in global warming
that was observed most significantly over vegetated land. So, between 2002 and
2014, plants took in more CO2 through photosynthesis, but did not "exhale"
more CO2 into the atmosphere through respiration.
"These changes decreased the amount of anthropogenic CO2 that stays in the
atmosphere, and thus slowed the accumulation of atmospheric CO2," says Keenan.
Their findings provide a possible answer to a climatic mystery. The growth
rate of atmospheric CO2 climbed steadily during the latter half of the 20th
century, from 0.75 ppm/year in 1959 to 1.86 ppm/year in 2002. But Keenan and
colleagues discovered an inflection point last year when they analyzed the
latest data from the Global Carbon Project, which quantifies carbon emissions
and their sources annually. Since 2002, the growth rate has remained flat.
This pause is especially surprising because it has occurred as human
activity pumps more and more carbon into the atmosphere. All that CO2 must be
going somewhere, so the scientists suspected something about the carbon cycle
has recently changed in a big way.
"We believed one of the planet's main carbon sinks had unexpectedly
strengthened. The question was: which one?" says Keenan.
The scientists ruled out oceans as a dominant cause because most computer
models agree the amount of carbon taken in by oceans has increased steadily in
recent years. That left terrestrial ecosystems, which undergo a large
year-to-year variability in carbon uptake, and the two biggest influences on
this variability are photosynthesis and plant respiration.
To study these influences, the scientists used ten "global dynamic
vegetation models" that predict how the terrestrial carbon cycle changes over
time.
They also used a model that incorporates satellite measurements of
vegetation cover and plant activity to predict global photosynthesis and
respiration rates. They validated the model by comparing its results
with data from AmeriFlux and FLUXNET, which are
networks of eddy-covariance research towers that measure ecosystem carbon,
water, and energy fluxes in North and South America. Berkeley Lab manages
AmeriFlux for the Department of Energy.
Model projections were generated using different scenarios of atmospheric
CO2 level, temperature, soil moisture, and other processes. This enabled the
researchers to evaluate the impacts of these processes on the planet's
terrestrial carbon cycle.
Taken together, the models zeroed in on rising CO2 levels as having the
biggest impact on photosynthesis and plant respiration. The result is a boost
in terrestrial carbon uptake, particularly in tropical and high-latitude
ecosystems. Specifically, the models suggest rising CO2 levels caused
terrestrial ecosystems to double the rate at which they take in carbon, from
between one and two petagrams of carbon per year in the 1950s, to between two
and four petagrams of carbon per year in the 2000s. For comparison, human
activity emits between nine and ten petagrams of carbon per year (one petagram
is one trillion kilograms).
The scientists conclude this increase in carbon uptake put the brakes on
the growth rate of atmospheric CO2 between 2002 and 2014.
"Unfortunately, this increase is nowhere near enough to stop climate
change," says Keenan, adding that their results answer questions and pose new
ones. "We've shown the increase in terrestrial carbon uptake is happening, and
with a plausible explanation why. But we don't
know exactly where the carbon sink is increasing the most, how long this
increase will last, or what it means for the future of Earth's climate."
Carbon-hungry plants impede growth rate of atmospheric CO2
November 8, 2016
New findings suggest the rate at which CO2 is accumulating in the
atmosphere has plateaued in recent years because Earth's vegetation is
grabbing more carbon from the air than in previous decades.
That's the conclusion of a new multi-institutional study led by a scientist
from the Department of Energy's Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory
(Berkeley Lab). It's based on extensive ground and
atmospheric observations of CO2,
satellite measurements of vegetation, and computer
modeling. The research is published online Nov. 8 in the journal Nature
Communications.
To be clear, human activity continues to emit increasing amounts of
carbon, and the atmospheric concentration of CO2, now at 400
parts per million (ppm), continues to rise. But the scientists found that
between 2002 and 2014, the rate at which CO2 increased in the
atmosphere held steady at about 1.9 ppm/year. In addition, the proportion
of the CO2 emitted annually by human activity that remains in the atmosphere
declined by about 20 percent. This slowdown can't keep pace
with emissions, so the overall amount of
human-caused CO2 in the atmosphere increased, just not as quickly. And for
that, new research suggests, we can thank plants.
"This highlights the need to identify and protect ecosystems where the
carbon
sink is growing rapidly," says Trevor Keenan, a research scientist in
Berkeley Lab's Climate & Ecosystem Sciences Division and the corresponding
author of the paper.
The scientists attribute the stalled CO2 growth rate to an uptick in
land-based photosynthetic activity, fueled by rising CO2 levels from fossil
fuel emissions. It's a snowball effect: as CO2 levels rise in the atmosphere,
photosynthetic activity flourishes and plants take in more carbon, sparking
more plant growth, more photosynthesis, and more carbon uptake.
They also identified another player. Plant respiration, a process in which
plants use oxygen and produce CO2, did not increase as quickly as
photosynthesis in recent years. This is because plant respiration is sensitive
to temperature, and it was affected by the recent slowdown in global warming
that was observed most significantly over vegetated land. So, between 2002 and
2014, plants took in more CO2 through photosynthesis, but did not "exhale"
more CO2 into the atmosphere through respiration.
"These changes decreased the amount of anthropogenic CO2 that stays in the
atmosphere, and thus slowed the accumulation of atmospheric CO2," says Keenan.
Their findings provide a possible answer to a climatic mystery. The growth
rate of atmospheric CO2 climbed steadily during the latter half of the 20th
century, from 0.75 ppm/year in 1959 to 1.86 ppm/year in 2002. But Keenan and
colleagues discovered an inflection point last year when they analyzed the
latest data from the Global Carbon Project, which quantifies carbon emissions
and their sources annually. Since 2002, the growth rate has remained flat.
This pause is especially surprising because it has occurred as human
activity pumps more and more carbon into the atmosphere. All that CO2 must be
going somewhere, so the scientists suspected something about the carbon cycle
has recently changed in a big way.
"We believed one of the planet's main carbon sinks had unexpectedly
strengthened. The question was: which one?" says Keenan.
The scientists ruled out oceans as a dominant cause because most computer
models agree the amount of carbon taken in by oceans has increased steadily in
recent years. That left terrestrial ecosystems, which undergo a large
year-to-year variability in carbon uptake, and the two biggest influences on
this variability are photosynthesis and plant respiration.
To study these influences, the scientists used ten "global dynamic
vegetation models" that predict how the terrestrial carbon cycle changes over
time.
They also used a model that incorporates satellite measurements of
vegetation cover and plant activity to predict global photosynthesis and
respiration rates. They validated the model by comparing its results
with data from AmeriFlux and FLUXNET, which are
networks of eddy-covariance research towers that measure ecosystem carbon,
water, and energy fluxes in North and South America. Berkeley Lab manages
AmeriFlux for the Department of Energy.
Model projections were generated using different scenarios of atmospheric
CO2 level, temperature, soil moisture, and other processes. This enabled the
researchers to evaluate the impacts of these processes on the planet's
terrestrial carbon cycle.
Taken together, the models zeroed in on rising CO2 levels as having the
biggest impact on photosynthesis and plant respiration. The result is a boost
in terrestrial carbon uptake, particularly in tropical and high-latitude
ecosystems. Specifically, the models suggest rising CO2 levels caused
terrestrial ecosystems to double the rate at which they take in carbon, from
between one and two petagrams of carbon per year in the 1950s, to between two
and four petagrams of carbon per year in the 2000s. For comparison, human
activity emits between nine and ten petagrams of carbon per year (one petagram
is one trillion kilograms).
The scientists conclude this increase in carbon uptake put the brakes on
the growth rate of atmospheric CO2 between 2002 and 2014.
"Unfortunately, this increase is nowhere near enough to stop climate
change," says Keenan, adding that their results answer questions and pose new
ones. "We've shown the increase in terrestrial carbon uptake is happening, and
with a plausible explanation why. But we don't
know exactly where the carbon sink is increasing the most, how long this
increase will last, or what it means for the future of Earth's climate."
Carbon-hungry plants impede growth rate of atmospheric CO2
November 8, 2016
New findings suggest the rate at which CO2 is accumulating in the
atmosphere has plateaued in recent years because Earth's vegetation is
grabbing more carbon from the air than in previous decades.
That's the conclusion of a new multi-institutional study led by a scientist
from the Department of Energy's Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory
(Berkeley Lab). It's based on extensive ground and
atmospheric observations of CO2,
satellite measurements of vegetation, and computer
modeling. The research is published online Nov. 8 in the journal Nature
Communications.
To be clear, human activity continues to emit increasing amounts of
carbon, and the atmospheric concentration of CO2, now at 400
parts per million (ppm), continues to rise. But the scientists found that
between 2002 and 2014, the rate at which CO2 increased in the
atmosphere held steady at about 1.9 ppm/year. In addition, the proportion
of the CO2 emitted annually by human activity that remains in the atmosphere
declined by about 20 percent. This slowdown can't keep pace
with emissions, so the overall amount of
human-caused CO2 in the atmosphere increased, just not as quickly. And for
that, new research suggests, we can thank plants.
"This highlights the need to identify and protect ecosystems where the
carbon
sink is growing rapidly," says Trevor Keenan, a research scientist in
Berkeley Lab's Climate & Ecosystem Sciences Division and the corresponding
author of the paper.
The scientists attribute the stalled CO2 growth rate to an uptick in
land-based photosynthetic activity, fueled by rising CO2 levels from fossil
fuel emissions. It's a snowball effect: as CO2 levels rise in the atmosphere,
photosynthetic activity flourishes and plants take in more carbon, sparking
more plant growth, more photosynthesis, and more carbon uptake.
They also identified another player. Plant respiration, a process in which
plants use oxygen and produce CO2, did not increase as quickly as
photosynthesis in recent years. This is because plant respiration is sensitive
to temperature, and it was affected by the recent slowdown in global warming
that was observed most significantly over vegetated land. So, between 2002 and
2014, plants took in more CO2 through photosynthesis, but did not "exhale"
more CO2 into the atmosphere through respiration.
"These changes decreased the amount of anthropogenic CO2 that stays in the
atmosphere, and thus slowed the accumulation of atmospheric CO2," says Keenan.
Their findings provide a possible answer to a climatic mystery. The growth
rate of atmospheric CO2 climbed steadily during the latter half of the 20th
century, from 0.75 ppm/year in 1959 to 1.86 ppm/year in 2002. But Keenan and
colleagues discovered an inflection point last year when they analyzed the
latest data from the Global Carbon Project, which quantifies carbon emissions
and their sources annually. Since 2002, the growth rate has remained flat.
This pause is especially surprising because it has occurred as human
activity pumps more and more carbon into the atmosphere. All that CO2 must be
going somewhere, so the scientists suspected something about the carbon cycle
has recently changed in a big way.
"We believed one of the planet's main carbon sinks had unexpectedly
strengthened. The question was: which one?" says Keenan.
The scientists ruled out oceans as a dominant cause because most computer
models agree the amount of carbon taken in by oceans has increased steadily in
recent years. That left terrestrial ecosystems, which undergo a large
year-to-year variability in carbon uptake, and the two biggest influences on
this variability are photosynthesis and plant respiration.
To study these influences, the scientists used ten "global dynamic
vegetation models" that predict how the terrestrial carbon cycle changes over
time.
They also used a model that incorporates satellite measurements of
vegetation cover and plant activity to predict global photosynthesis and
respiration rates. They validated the model by comparing its results
with data from AmeriFlux and FLUXNET, which are
networks of eddy-covariance research towers that measure ecosystem carbon,
water, and energy fluxes in North and South America. Berkeley Lab manages
AmeriFlux for the Department of Energy.
Model projections were generated using different scenarios of atmospheric
CO2 level, temperature, soil moisture, and other processes. This enabled the
researchers to evaluate the impacts of these processes on the planet's
terrestrial carbon cycle.
Taken together, the models zeroed in on rising CO2 levels as having the
biggest impact on photosynthesis and plant respiration. The result is a boost
in terrestrial carbon uptake, particularly in tropical and high-latitude
ecosystems. Specifically, the models suggest rising CO2 levels caused
terrestrial ecosystems to double the rate at which they take in carbon, from
between one and two petagrams of carbon per year in the 1950s, to between two
and four petagrams of carbon per year in the 2000s. For comparison, human
activity emits between nine and ten petagrams of carbon per year (one petagram
is one trillion kilograms).
The scientists conclude this increase in carbon uptake put the brakes on
the growth rate of atmospheric CO2 between 2002 and 2014.
"Unfortunately, this increase is nowhere near enough to stop climate
change," says Keenan, adding that their results answer questions and pose new
ones. "We've shown the increase in terrestrial carbon uptake is happening, and
with a plausible explanation why. But we don't
know exactly where the carbon sink is increasing the most, how long this
increase will last, or what it means for the future of Earth's climate."
Carbon-hungry plants impede growth rate of atmospheric CO2
November 8, 2016
New findings suggest the rate at which CO2 is accumulating in the
atmosphere has plateaued in recent years because Earth's vegetation is
grabbing more carbon from the air than in previous decades.
That's the conclusion of a new multi-institutional study led by a scientist
from the Department of Energy's Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory
(Berkeley Lab). It's based on extensive ground and
atmospheric observations of CO2,
satellite measurements of vegetation, and computer
modeling. The research is published online Nov. 8 in the journal Nature
Communications.
To be clear, human activity continues to emit increasing amounts of
carbon, and the atmospheric concentration of CO2, now at 400
parts per million (ppm), continues to rise. But the scientists found that
between 2002 and 2014, the rate at which CO2 increased in the
atmosphere held steady at about 1.9 ppm/year. In addition, the proportion
of the CO2 emitted annually by human activity that remains in the atmosphere
declined by about 20 percent. This slowdown can't keep pace
with emissions, so the overall amount of
human-caused CO2 in the atmosphere increased, just not as quickly. And for
that, new research suggests, we can thank plants.
"This highlights the need to identify and protect ecosystems where the
carbon
sink is growing rapidly," says Trevor Keenan, a research scientist in
Berkeley Lab's Climate & Ecosystem Sciences Division and the corresponding
author of the paper.
The scientists attribute the stalled CO2 growth rate to an uptick in
land-based photosynthetic activity, fueled by rising CO2 levels from fossil
fuel emissions. It's a snowball effect: as CO2 levels rise in the atmosphere,
photosynthetic activity flourishes and plants take in more carbon, sparking
more plant growth, more photosynthesis, and more carbon uptake.
They also identified another player. Plant respiration, a process in which
plants use oxygen and produce CO2, did not increase as quickly as
photosynthesis in recent years. This is because plant respiration is sensitive
to temperature, and it was affected by the recent slowdown in global warming
that was observed most significantly over vegetated land. So, between 2002 and
2014, plants took in more CO2 through photosynthesis, but did not "exhale"
more CO2 into the atmosphere through respiration.
"These changes decreased the amount of anthropogenic CO2 that stays in the
atmosphere, and thus slowed the accumulation of atmospheric CO2," says Keenan.
Their findings provide a possible answer to a climatic mystery. The growth
rate of atmospheric CO2 climbed steadily during the latter half of the 20th
century, from 0.75 ppm/year in 1959 to 1.86 ppm/year in 2002. But Keenan and
colleagues discovered an inflection point last year when they analyzed the
latest data from the Global Carbon Project, which quantifies carbon emissions
and their sources annually. Since 2002, the growth rate has remained flat.
This pause is especially surprising because it has occurred as human
activity pumps more and more carbon into the atmosphere. All that CO2 must be
going somewhere, so the scientists suspected something about the carbon cycle
has recently changed in a big way.
"We believed one of the planet's main carbon sinks had unexpectedly
strengthened. The question was: which one?" says Keenan.
The scientists ruled out oceans as a dominant cause because most computer
models agree the amount of carbon taken in by oceans has increased steadily in
recent years. That left terrestrial ecosystems, which undergo a large
year-to-year variability in carbon uptake, and the two biggest influences on
this variability are photosynthesis and plant respiration.
To study these influences, the scientists used ten "global dynamic
vegetation models" that predict how the terrestrial carbon cycle changes over
time.
They also used a model that incorporates satellite measurements of
vegetation cover and plant activity to predict global photosynthesis and
respiration rates. They validated the model by comparing its results
with data from AmeriFlux and FLUXNET, which are
networks of eddy-covariance research towers that measure ecosystem carbon,
water, and energy fluxes in North and South America. Berkeley Lab manages
AmeriFlux for the Department of Energy.
Model projections were generated using different scenarios of atmospheric
CO2 level, temperature, soil moisture, and other processes. This enabled the
researchers to evaluate the impacts of these processes on the planet's
terrestrial carbon cycle.
Taken together, the models zeroed in on rising CO2 levels as having the
biggest impact on photosynthesis and plant respiration. The result is a boost
in terrestrial carbon uptake, particularly in tropical and high-latitude
ecosystems. Specifically, the models suggest rising CO2 levels caused
terrestrial ecosystems to double the rate at which they take in carbon, from
between one and two petagrams of carbon per year in the 1950s, to between two
and four petagrams of carbon per year in the 2000s. For comparison, human
activity emits between nine and ten petagrams of carbon per year (one petagram
is one trillion kilograms).
The scientists conclude this increase in carbon uptake put the brakes on
the growth rate of atmospheric CO2 between 2002 and 2014.
"Unfortunately, this increase is nowhere near enough to stop climate
change," says Keenan, adding that their results answer questions and pose new
ones. "We've shown the increase in terrestrial carbon uptake is happening, and
with a plausible explanation why. But we don't
know exactly where the carbon sink is increasing the most, how long this
increase will last, or what it means for the future of Earth's climate."
Carbon-hungry plants impede growth rate of atmospheric CO2
November 8, 2016
New findings suggest the rate at which CO2 is accumulating in the
atmosphere has plateaued in recent years because Earth's vegetation is
grabbing more carbon from the air than in previous decades.
That's the conclusion of a new multi-institutional study led by a scientist
from the Department of Energy's Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory
(Berkeley Lab). It's based on extensive ground and
atmospheric observations of CO2,
satellite measurements of vegetation, and computer
modeling. The research is published online Nov. 8 in the journal Nature
Communications.
To be clear, human activity continues to emit increasing amounts of
carbon, and the atmospheric concentration of CO2, now at 400
parts per million (ppm), continues to rise. But the scientists found that
between 2002 and 2014, the rate at which CO2 increased in the
atmosphere held steady at about 1.9 ppm/year. In addition, the proportion
of the CO2 emitted annually by human activity that remains in the atmosphere
declined by about 20 percent. This slowdown can't keep pace
with emissions, so the overall amount of
human-caused CO2 in the atmosphere increased, just not as quickly. And for
that, new research suggests, we can thank plants.
"This highlights the need to identify and protect ecosystems where the
carbon
sink is growing rapidly," says Trevor Keenan, a research scientist in
Berkeley Lab's Climate & Ecosystem Sciences Division and the corresponding
author of the paper.
The scientists attribute the stalled CO2 growth rate to an uptick in
land-based photosynthetic activity, fueled by rising CO2 levels from fossil
fuel emissions. It's a snowball effect: as CO2 levels rise in the atmosphere,
photosynthetic activity flourishes and plants take in more carbon, sparking
more plant growth, more photosynthesis, and more carbon uptake.
They also identified another player. Plant respiration, a process in which
plants use oxygen and produce CO2, did not increase as quickly as
photosynthesis in recent years. This is because plant respiration is sensitive
to temperature, and it was affected by the recent slowdown in global warming
that was observed most significantly over vegetated land. So, between 2002 and
2014, plants took in more CO2 through photosynthesis, but did not "exhale"
more CO2 into the atmosphere through respiration.
"These changes decreased the amount of anthropogenic CO2 that stays in the
atmosphere, and thus slowed the accumulation of atmospheric CO2," says Keenan.
Their findings provide a possible answer to a climatic mystery. The growth
rate of atmospheric CO2 climbed steadily during the latter half of the 20th
century, from 0.75 ppm/year in 1959 to 1.86 ppm/year in 2002. But Keenan and
colleagues discovered an inflection point last year when they analyzed the
latest data from the Global Carbon Project, which quantifies carbon emissions
and their sources annually. Since 2002, the growth rate has remained flat.
This pause is especially surprising because it has occurred as human
activity pumps more and more carbon into the atmosphere. All that CO2 must be
going somewhere, so the scientists suspected something about the carbon cycle
has recently changed in a big way.
"We believed one of the planet's main carbon sinks had unexpectedly
strengthened. The question was: which one?" says Keenan.
The scientists ruled out oceans as a dominant cause because most computer
models agree the amount of carbon taken in by oceans has increased steadily in
recent years. That left terrestrial ecosystems, which undergo a large
year-to-year variability in carbon uptake, and the two biggest influences on
this variability are photosynthesis and plant respiration.
To study these influences, the scientists used ten "global dynamic
vegetation models" that predict how the terrestrial carbon cycle changes over
time.
They also used a model that incorporates satellite measurements of
vegetation cover and plant activity to predict global photosynthesis and
respiration rates. They validated the model by comparing its results
with data from AmeriFlux and FLUXNET, which are
networks of eddy-covariance research towers that measure ecosystem carbon,
water, and energy fluxes in North and South America. Berkeley Lab manages
AmeriFlux for the Department of Energy.
Model projections were generated using different scenarios of atmospheric
CO2 level, temperature, soil moisture, and other processes. This enabled the
researchers to evaluate the impacts of these processes on the planet's
terrestrial carbon cycle.
Taken together, the models zeroed in on rising CO2 levels as having the
biggest impact on photosynthesis and plant respiration. The result is a boost
in terrestrial carbon uptake, particularly in tropical and high-latitude
ecosystems. Specifically, the models suggest rising CO2 levels caused
terrestrial ecosystems to double the rate at which they take in carbon, from
between one and two petagrams of carbon per year in the 1950s, to between two
and four petagrams of carbon per year in the 2000s. For comparison, human
activity emits between nine and ten petagrams of carbon per year (one petagram
is one trillion kilograms).
The scientists conclude this increase in carbon uptake put the brakes on
the growth rate of atmospheric CO2 between 2002 and 2014.
"Unfortunately, this increase is nowhere near enough to stop climate
change," says Keenan, adding that their results answer questions and pose new
ones. "We've shown the increase in terrestrial carbon uptake is happening, and
with a plausible explanation why. But we don't
know exactly where the carbon sink is increasing the most, how long this
increase will last, or what it means for the future of Earth's climate."
Carbon-hungry plants impede growth rate of atmospheric CO2
November 8, 2016
New findings suggest the rate at which CO2 is accumulating in the
atmosphere has plateaued in recent years because Earth's vegetation is
grabbing more carbon from the air than in previous decades.
That's the conclusion of a new multi-institutional study led by a scientist
from the Department of Energy's Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory
(Berkeley Lab). It's based on extensive ground and
atmospheric observations of CO2,
satellite measurements of vegetation, and computer
modeling. The research is published online Nov. 8 in the journal Nature
Communications.
To be clear, human activity continues to emit increasing amounts of
carbon, and the atmospheric concentration of CO2, now at 400
parts per million (ppm), continues to rise. But the scientists found that
between 2002 and 2014, the rate at which CO2 increased in the
atmosphere held steady at about 1.9 ppm/year. In addition, the proportion
of the CO2 emitted annually by human activity that remains in the atmosphere
declined by about 20 percent. This slowdown can't keep pace
with emissions, so the overall amount of
human-caused CO2 in the atmosphere increased, just not as quickly. And for
that, new research suggests, we can thank plants.
"This highlights the need to identify and protect ecosystems where the
carbon
sink is growing rapidly," says Trevor Keenan, a research scientist in
Berkeley Lab's Climate & Ecosystem Sciences Division and the corresponding
author of the paper.
The scientists attribute the stalled CO2 growth rate to an uptick in
land-based photosynthetic activity, fueled by rising CO2 levels from fossil
fuel emissions. It's a snowball effect: as CO2 levels rise in the atmosphere,
photosynthetic activity flourishes and plants take in more carbon, sparking
more plant growth, more photosynthesis, and more carbon uptake.
They also identified another player. Plant respiration, a process in which
plants use oxygen and produce CO2, did not increase as quickly as
photosynthesis in recent years. This is because plant respiration is sensitive
to temperature, and it was affected by the recent slowdown in global warming
that was observed most significantly over vegetated land. So, between 2002 and
2014, plants took in more CO2 through photosynthesis, but did not "exhale"
more CO2 into the atmosphere through respiration.
"These changes decreased the amount of anthropogenic CO2 that stays in the
atmosphere, and thus slowed the accumulation of atmospheric CO2," says Keenan.
Their findings provide a possible answer to a climatic mystery. The growth
rate of atmospheric CO2 climbed steadily during the latter half of the 20th
century, from 0.75 ppm/year in 1959 to 1.86 ppm/year in 2002. But Keenan and
colleagues discovered an inflection point last year when they analyzed the
latest data from the Global Carbon Project, which quantifies carbon emissions
and their sources annually. Since 2002, the growth rate has remained flat.
This pause is especially surprising because it has occurred as human
activity pumps more and more carbon into the atmosphere. All that CO2 must be
going somewhere, so the scientists suspected something about the carbon cycle
has recently changed in a big way.
"We believed one of the planet's main carbon sinks had unexpectedly
strengthened. The question was: which one?" says Keenan.
The scientists ruled out oceans as a dominant cause because most computer
models agree the amount of carbon taken in by oceans has increased steadily in
recent years. That left terrestrial ecosystems, which undergo a large
year-to-year variability in carbon uptake, and the two biggest influences on
this variability are photosynthesis and plant respiration.
To study these influences, the scientists used ten "global dynamic
vegetation models" that predict how the terrestrial carbon cycle changes over
time.
They also used a model that incorporates satellite measurements of
vegetation cover and plant activity to predict global photosynthesis and
respiration rates. They validated the model by comparing its results
with data from AmeriFlux and FLUXNET, which are
networks of eddy-covariance research towers that measure ecosystem carbon,
water, and energy fluxes in North and South America. Berkeley Lab manages
AmeriFlux for the Department of Energy.
Model projections were generated using different scenarios of atmospheric
CO2 level, temperature, soil moisture, and other processes. This enabled the
researchers to evaluate the impacts of these processes on the planet's
terrestrial carbon cycle.
Taken together, the models zeroed in on rising CO2 levels as having the
biggest impact on photosynthesis and plant respiration. The result is a boost
in terrestrial carbon uptake, particularly in tropical and high-latitude
ecosystems. Specifically, the models suggest rising CO2 levels caused
terrestrial ecosystems to double the rate at which they take in carbon, from
between one and two petagrams of carbon per year in the 1950s, to between two
and four petagrams of carbon per year in the 2000s. For comparison, human
activity emits between nine and ten petagrams of carbon per year (one petagram
is one trillion kilograms).
The scientists conclude this increase in carbon uptake put the brakes on
the growth rate of atmospheric CO2 between 2002 and 2014.
"Unfortunately, this increase is nowhere near enough to stop climate
change," says Keenan, adding that their results answer questions and pose new
ones. "We've shown the increase in terrestrial carbon uptake is happening, and
with a plausible explanation why. But we don't
know exactly where the carbon sink is increasing the most, how long this
increase will last, or what it means for the future of Earth's climate."
Carbon-hungry plants impede growth rate of atmospheric CO2
November 8, 2016
New findings suggest the rate at which CO2 is accumulating in the
atmosphere has plateaued in recent years because Earth's vegetation is
grabbing more carbon from the air than in previous decades.
That's the conclusion of a new multi-institutional study led by a scientist
from the Department of Energy's Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory
(Berkeley Lab). It's based on extensive ground and
atmospheric observations of CO2,
satellite measurements of vegetation, and computer
modeling. The research is published online Nov. 8 in the journal Nature
Communications.
To be clear, human activity continues to emit increasing amounts of
carbon, and the atmospheric concentration of CO2, now at 400
parts per million (ppm), continues to rise. But the scientists found that
between 2002 and 2014, the rate at which CO2 increased in the
atmosphere held steady at about 1.9 ppm/year. In addition, the proportion
of the CO2 emitted annually by human activity that remains in the atmosphere
declined by about 20 percent. This slowdown can't keep pace
with emissions, so the overall amount of
human-caused CO2 in the atmosphere increased, just not as quickly. And for
that, new research suggests, we can thank plants.
"This highlights the need to identify and protect ecosystems where the
carbon
sink is growing rapidly," says Trevor Keenan, a research scientist in
Berkeley Lab's Climate & Ecosystem Sciences Division and the corresponding
author of the paper.
The scientists attribute the stalled CO2 growth rate to an uptick in
land-based photosynthetic activity, fueled by rising CO2 levels from fossil
fuel emissions. It's a snowball effect: as CO2 levels rise in the atmosphere,
photosynthetic activity flourishes and plants take in more carbon, sparking
more plant growth, more photosynthesis, and more carbon uptake.
They also identified another player. Plant respiration, a process in which
plants use oxygen and produce CO2, did not increase as quickly as
photosynthesis in recent years. This is because plant respiration is sensitive
to temperature, and it was affected by the recent slowdown in global warming
that was observed most significantly over vegetated land. So, between 2002 and
2014, plants took in more CO2 through photosynthesis, but did not "exhale"
more CO2 into the atmosphere through respiration.
"These changes decreased the amount of anthropogenic CO2 that stays in the
atmosphere, and thus slowed the accumulation of atmospheric CO2," says Keenan.
Their findings provide a possible answer to a climatic mystery. The growth
rate of atmospheric CO2 climbed steadily during the latter half of the 20th
century, from 0.75 ppm/year in 1959 to 1.86 ppm/year in 2002. But Keenan and
colleagues discovered an inflection point last year when they analyzed the
latest data from the Global Carbon Project, which quantifies carbon emissions
and their sources annually. Since 2002, the growth rate has remained flat.
This pause is especially surprising because it has occurred as human
activity pumps more and more carbon into the atmosphere. All that CO2 must be
going somewhere, so the scientists suspected something about the carbon cycle
has recently changed in a big way.
"We believed one of the planet's main carbon sinks had unexpectedly
strengthened. The question was: which one?" says Keenan.
The scientists ruled out oceans as a dominant cause because most computer
models agree the amount of carbon taken in by oceans has increased steadily in
recent years. That left terrestrial ecosystems, which undergo a large
year-to-year variability in carbon uptake, and the two biggest influences on
this variability are photosynthesis and plant respiration.
To study these influences, the scientists used ten "global dynamic
vegetation models" that predict how the terrestrial carbon cycle changes over
time.
They also used a model that incorporates satellite measurements of
vegetation cover and plant activity to predict global photosynthesis and
respiration rates. They validated the model by comparing its results
with data from AmeriFlux and FLUXNET, which are
networks of eddy-covariance research towers that measure ecosystem carbon,
water, and energy fluxes in North and South America. Berkeley Lab manages
AmeriFlux for the Department of Energy.
Model projections were generated using different scenarios of atmospheric
CO2 level, temperature, soil moisture, and other processes. This enabled the
researchers to evaluate the impacts of these processes on the planet's
terrestrial carbon cycle.
Taken together, the models zeroed in on rising CO2 levels as having the
biggest impact on photosynthesis and plant respiration. The result is a boost
in terrestrial carbon uptake, particularly in tropical and high-latitude
ecosystems. Specifically, the models suggest rising CO2 levels caused
terrestrial ecosystems to double the rate at which they take in carbon, from
between one and two petagrams of carbon per year in the 1950s, to between two
and four petagrams of carbon per year in the 2000s. For comparison, human
activity emits between nine and ten petagrams of carbon per year (one petagram
is one trillion kilograms).
The scientists conclude this increase in carbon uptake put the brakes on
the growth rate of atmospheric CO2 between 2002 and 2014.
"Unfortunately, this increase is nowhere near enough to stop climate
change," says Keenan, adding that their results answer questions and pose new
ones. "We've shown the increase in terrestrial carbon uptake is happening, and
with a plausible explanation why. But we don't
know exactly where the carbon sink is increasing the most, how long this
increase will last, or what it means for the future of Earth's climate."
Carbon-hungry plants impede growth rate of atmospheric CO2
November 8, 2016
New findings suggest the rate at which CO2 is accumulating in the
atmosphere has plateaued in recent years because Earth's vegetation is
grabbing more carbon from the air than in previous decades.
That's the conclusion of a new multi-institutional study led by a scientist
from the Department of Energy's Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory
(Berkeley Lab). It's based on extensive ground and
atmospheric observations of CO2,
satellite measurements of vegetation, and computer
modeling. The research is published online Nov. 8 in the journal Nature
Communications.
To be clear, human activity continues to emit increasing amounts of
carbon, and the atmospheric concentration of CO2, now at 400
parts per million (ppm), continues to rise. But the scientists found that
between 2002 and 2014, the rate at which CO2 increased in the
atmosphere held steady at about 1.9 ppm/year. In addition, the proportion
of the CO2 emitted annually by human activity that remains in the atmosphere
declined by about 20 percent. This slowdown can't keep pace
with emissions, so the overall amount of
human-caused CO2 in the atmosphere increased, just not as quickly. And for
that, new research suggests, we can thank plants.
"This highlights the need to identify and protect ecosystems where the
carbon
sink is growing rapidly," says Trevor Keenan, a research scientist in
Berkeley Lab's Climate & Ecosystem Sciences Division and the corresponding
author of the paper.
The scientists attribute the stalled CO2 growth rate to an uptick in
land-based photosynthetic activity, fueled by rising CO2 levels from fossil
fuel emissions. It's a snowball effect: as CO2 levels rise in the atmosphere,
photosynthetic activity flourishes and plants take in more carbon, sparking
more plant growth, more photosynthesis, and more carbon uptake.
They also identified another player. Plant respiration, a process in which
plants use oxygen and produce CO2, did not increase as quickly as
photosynthesis in recent years. This is because plant respiration is sensitive
to temperature, and it was affected by the recent slowdown in global warming
that was observed most significantly over vegetated land. So, between 2002 and
2014, plants took in more CO2 through photosynthesis, but did not "exhale"
more CO2 into the atmosphere through respiration.
"These changes decreased the amount of anthropogenic CO2 that stays in the
atmosphere, and thus slowed the accumulation of atmospheric CO2," says Keenan.
Their findings provide a possible answer to a climatic mystery. The growth
rate of atmospheric CO2 climbed steadily during the latter half of the 20th
century, from 0.75 ppm/year in 1959 to 1.86 ppm/year in 2002. But Keenan and
colleagues discovered an inflection point last year when they analyzed the
latest data from the Global Carbon Project, which quantifies carbon emissions
and their sources annually. Since 2002, the growth rate has remained flat.
This pause is especially surprising because it has occurred as human
activity pumps more and more carbon into the atmosphere. All that CO2 must be
going somewhere, so the scientists suspected something about the carbon cycle
has recently changed in a big way.
"We believed one of the planet's main carbon sinks had unexpectedly
strengthened. The question was: which one?" says Keenan.
The scientists ruled out oceans as a dominant cause because most computer
models agree the amount of carbon taken in by oceans has increased steadily in
recent years. That left terrestrial ecosystems, which undergo a large
year-to-year variability in carbon uptake, and the two biggest influences on
this variability are photosynthesis and plant respiration.
To study these influences, the scientists used ten "global dynamic
vegetation models" that predict how the terrestrial carbon cycle changes over
time.
They also used a model that incorporates satellite measurements of
vegetation cover and plant activity to predict global photosynthesis and
respiration rates. They validated the model by comparing its results
with data from AmeriFlux and FLUXNET, which are
networks of eddy-covariance research towers that measure ecosystem carbon,
water, and energy fluxes in North and South America. Berkeley Lab manages
AmeriFlux for the Department of Energy.
Model projections were generated using different scenarios of atmospheric
CO2 level, temperature, soil moisture, and other processes. This enabled the
researchers to evaluate the impacts of these processes on the planet's
terrestrial carbon cycle.
Taken together, the models zeroed in on rising CO2 levels as having the
biggest impact on photosynthesis and plant respiration. The result is a boost
in terrestrial carbon uptake, particularly in tropical and high-latitude
ecosystems. Specifically, the models suggest rising CO2 levels caused
terrestrial ecosystems to double the rate at which they take in carbon, from
between one and two petagrams of carbon per year in the 1950s, to between two
and four petagrams of carbon per year in the 2000s. For comparison, human
activity emits between nine and ten petagrams of carbon per year (one petagram
is one trillion kilograms).
The scientists conclude this increase in carbon uptake put the brakes on
the growth rate of atmospheric CO2 between 2002 and 2014.
"Unfortunately, this increase is nowhere near enough to stop climate
change," says Keenan, adding that their results answer questions and pose new
ones. "We've shown the increase in terrestrial carbon uptake is happening, and
with a plausible explanation why. But we don't
know exactly where the carbon sink is increasing the most, how long this
increase will last, or what it means for the future of Earth's climate."
Carbon-hungry plants impede growth rate of atmospheric CO2
November 8, 2016
New findings suggest the rate at which CO2 is accumulating in the
atmosphere has plateaued in recent years because Earth's vegetation is
grabbing more carbon from the air than in previous decades.
That's the conclusion of a new multi-institutional study led by a scientist
from the Department of Energy's Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory
(Berkeley Lab). It's based on extensive ground and
atmospheric observations of CO2,
satellite measurements of vegetation, and computer
modeling. The research is published online Nov. 8 in the journal Nature
Communications.
To be clear, human activity continues to emit increasing amounts of
carbon, and the atmospheric concentration of CO2, now at 400
parts per million (ppm), continues to rise. But the scientists found that
between 2002 and 2014, the rate at which CO2 increased in the
atmosphere held steady at about 1.9 ppm/year. In addition, the proportion
of the CO2 emitted annually by human activity that remains in the atmosphere
declined by about 20 percent. This slowdown can't keep pace
with emissions, so the overall amount of
human-caused CO2 in the atmosphere increased, just not as quickly. And for
that, new research suggests, we can thank plants.
"This highlights the need to identify and protect ecosystems where the
carbon
sink is growing rapidly," says Trevor Keenan, a research scientist in
Berkeley Lab's Climate & Ecosystem Sciences Division and the corresponding
author of the paper.
The scientists attribute the stalled CO2 growth rate to an uptick in
land-based photosynthetic activity, fueled by rising CO2 levels from fossil
fuel emissions. It's a snowball effect: as CO2 levels rise in the atmosphere,
photosynthetic activity flourishes and plants take in more carbon, sparking
more plant growth, more photosynthesis, and more carbon uptake.
They also identified another player. Plant respiration, a process in which
plants use oxygen and produce CO2, did not increase as quickly as
photosynthesis in recent years. This is because plant respiration is sensitive
to temperature, and it was affected by the recent slowdown in global warming
that was observed most significantly over vegetated land. So, between 2002 and
2014, plants took in more CO2 through photosynthesis, but did not "exhale"
more CO2 into the atmosphere through respiration.
"These changes decreased the amount of anthropogenic CO2 that stays in the
atmosphere, and thus slowed the accumulation of atmospheric CO2," says Keenan.
Their findings provide a possible answer to a climatic mystery. The growth
rate of atmospheric CO2 climbed steadily during the latter half of the 20th
century, from 0.75 ppm/year in 1959 to 1.86 ppm/year in 2002. But Keenan and
colleagues discovered an inflection point last year when they analyzed the
latest data from the Global Carbon Project, which quantifies carbon emissions
and their sources annually. Since 2002, the growth rate has remained flat.
This pause is especially surprising because it has occurred as human
activity pumps more and more carbon into the atmosphere. All that CO2 must be
going somewhere, so the scientists suspected something about the carbon cycle
has recently changed in a big way.
"We believed one of the planet's main carbon sinks had unexpectedly
strengthened. The question was: which one?" says Keenan.
The scientists ruled out oceans as a dominant cause because most computer
models agree the amount of carbon taken in by oceans has increased steadily in
recent years. That left terrestrial ecosystems, which undergo a large
year-to-year variability in carbon uptake, and the two biggest influences on
this variability are photosynthesis and plant respiration.
To study these influences, the scientists used ten "global dynamic
vegetation models" that predict how the terrestrial carbon cycle changes over
time.
They also used a model that incorporates satellite measurements of
vegetation cover and plant activity to predict global photosynthesis and
respiration rates. They validated the model by comparing its results
with data from AmeriFlux and FLUXNET, which are
networks of eddy-covariance research towers that measure ecosystem carbon,
water, and energy fluxes in North and South America. Berkeley Lab manages
AmeriFlux for the Department of Energy.
Model projections were generated using different scenarios of atmospheric
CO2 level, temperature, soil moisture, and other processes. This enabled the
researchers to evaluate the impacts of these processes on the planet's
terrestrial carbon cycle.
Taken together, the models zeroed in on rising CO2 levels as having the
biggest impact on photosynthesis and plant respiration. The result is a boost
in terrestrial carbon uptake, particularly in tropical and high-latitude
ecosystems. Specifically, the models suggest rising CO2 levels caused
terrestrial ecosystems to double the rate at which they take in carbon, from
between one and two petagrams of carbon per year in the 1950s, to between two
and four petagrams of carbon per year in the 2000s. For comparison, human
activity emits between nine and ten petagrams of carbon per year (one petagram
is one trillion kilograms).
The scientists conclude this increase in carbon uptake put the brakes on
the growth rate of atmospheric CO2 between 2002 and 2014.
"Unfortunately, this increase is nowhere near enough to stop climate
change," says Keenan, adding that their results answer questions and pose new
ones. "We've shown the increase in terrestrial carbon uptake is happening, and
with a plausible explanation why. But we don't
know exactly where the carbon sink is increasing the most, how long this
increase will last, or what it means for the future of Earth's climate."
Carbon-hungry plants impede growth rate of atmospheric CO2
November 8, 2016
New findings suggest the rate at which CO2 is accumulating in the
atmosphere has plateaued in recent years because Earth's vegetation is
grabbing more carbon from the air than in previous decades.
That's the conclusion of a new multi-institutional study led by a scientist
from the Department of Energy's Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory
(Berkeley Lab). It's based on extensive ground and
atmospheric observations of CO2,
satellite measurements of vegetation, and computer
modeling. The research is published online Nov. 8 in the journal Nature
Communications.
To be clear, human activity continues to emit increasing amounts of
carbon, and the atmospheric concentration of CO2, now at 400
parts per million (ppm), continues to rise. But the scientists found that
between 2002 and 2014, the rate at which CO2 increased in the
atmosphere held steady at about 1.9 ppm/year. In addition, the proportion
of the CO2 emitted annually by human activity that remains in the atmosphere
declined by about 20 percent. This slowdown can't keep pace
with emissions, so the overall amount of
human-caused CO2 in the atmosphere increased, just not as quickly. And for
that, new research suggests, we can thank plants.
"This highlights the need to identify and protect ecosystems where the
carbon
sink is growing rapidly," says Trevor Keenan, a research scientist in
Berkeley Lab's Climate & Ecosystem Sciences Division and the corresponding
author of the paper.
The scientists attribute the stalled CO2 growth rate to an uptick in
land-based photosynthetic activity, fueled by rising CO2 levels from fossil
fuel emissions. It's a snowball effect: as CO2 levels rise in the atmosphere,
photosynthetic activity flourishes and plants take in more carbon, sparking
more plant growth, more photosynthesis, and more carbon uptake.
They also identified another player. Plant respiration, a process in which
plants use oxygen and produce CO2, did not increase as quickly as
photosynthesis in recent years. This is because plant respiration is sensitive
to temperature, and it was affected by the recent slowdown in global warming
that was observed most significantly over vegetated land. So, between 2002 and
2014, plants took in more CO2 through photosynthesis, but did not "exhale"
more CO2 into the atmosphere through respiration.
"These changes decreased the amount of anthropogenic CO2 that stays in the
atmosphere, and thus slowed the accumulation of atmospheric CO2," says Keenan.
Their findings provide a possible answer to a climatic mystery. The growth
rate of atmospheric CO2 climbed steadily during the latter half of the 20th
century, from 0.75 ppm/year in 1959 to 1.86 ppm/year in 2002. But Keenan and
colleagues discovered an inflection point last year when they analyzed the
latest data from the Global Carbon Project, which quantifies carbon emissions
and their sources annually. Since 2002, the growth rate has remained flat.
This pause is especially surprising because it has occurred as human
activity pumps more and more carbon into the atmosphere. All that CO2 must be
going somewhere, so the scientists suspected something about the carbon cycle
has recently changed in a big way.
"We believed one of the planet's main carbon sinks had unexpectedly
strengthened. The question was: which one?" says Keenan.
The scientists ruled out oceans as a dominant cause because most computer
models agree the amount of carbon taken in by oceans has increased steadily in
recent years. That left terrestrial ecosystems, which undergo a large
year-to-year variability in carbon uptake, and the two biggest influences on
this variability are photosynthesis and plant respiration.
To study these influences, the scientists used ten "global dynamic
vegetation models" that predict how the terrestrial carbon cycle changes over
time.
They also used a model that incorporates satellite measurements of
vegetation cover and plant activity to predict global photosynthesis and
respiration rates. They validated the model by comparing its results
with data from AmeriFlux and FLUXNET, which are
networks of eddy-covariance research towers that measure ecosystem carbon,
water, and energy fluxes in North and South America. Berkeley Lab manages
AmeriFlux for the Department of Energy.
Model projections were generated using different scenarios of atmospheric
CO2 level, temperature, soil moisture, and other processes. This enabled the
researchers to evaluate the impacts of these processes on the planet's
terrestrial carbon cycle.
Taken together, the models zeroed in on rising CO2 levels as having the
biggest impact on photosynthesis and plant respiration. The result is a boost
in terrestrial carbon uptake, particularly in tropical and high-latitude
ecosystems. Specifically, the models suggest rising CO2 levels caused
terrestrial ecosystems to double the rate at which they take in carbon, from
between one and two petagrams of carbon per year in the 1950s, to between two
and four petagrams of carbon per year in the 2000s. For comparison, human
activity emits between nine and ten petagrams of carbon per year (one petagram
is one trillion kilograms).
The scientists conclude this increase in carbon uptake put the brakes on
the growth rate of atmospheric CO2 between 2002 and 2014.
"Unfortunately, this increase is nowhere near enough to stop climate
change," says Keenan, adding that their results answer questions and pose new
ones. "We've shown the increase in terrestrial carbon uptake is happening, and
with a plausible explanation why. But we don't
know exactly where the carbon sink is increasing the most, how long this
increase will last, or what it means for the future of Earth's climate."
Carbon-hungry plants impede growth rate of atmospheric CO2
November 8, 2016
New findings suggest the rate at which CO2 is accumulating in the
atmosphere has plateaued in recent years because Earth's vegetation is
grabbing more carbon from the air than in previous decades.
That's the conclusion of a new multi-institutional study led by a scientist
from the Department of Energy's Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory
(Berkeley Lab). It's based on extensive ground and
atmospheric observations of CO2,
satellite measurements of vegetation, and computer
modeling. The research is published online Nov. 8 in the journal Nature
Communications.
To be clear, human activity continues to emit increasing amounts of
carbon, and the atmospheric concentration of CO2, now at 400
parts per million (ppm), continues to rise. But the scientists found that
between 2002 and 2014, the rate at which CO2 increased in the
atmosphere held steady at about 1.9 ppm/year. In addition, the proportion
of the CO2 emitted annually by human activity that remains in the atmosphere
declined by about 20 percent. This slowdown can't keep pace
with emissions, so the overall amount of
human-caused CO2 in the atmosphere increased, just not as quickly. And for
that, new research suggests, we can thank plants.
"This highlights the need to identify and protect ecosystems where the
carbon
sink is growing rapidly," says Trevor Keenan, a research scientist in
Berkeley Lab's Climate & Ecosystem Sciences Division and the corresponding
author of the paper.
The scientists attribute the stalled CO2 growth rate to an uptick in
land-based photosynthetic activity, fueled by rising CO2 levels from fossil
fuel emissions. It's a snowball effect: as CO2 levels rise in the atmosphere,
photosynthetic activity flourishes and plants take in more carbon, sparking
more plant growth, more photosynthesis, and more carbon uptake.
They also identified another player. Plant respiration, a process in which
plants use oxygen and produce CO2, did not increase as quickly as
photosynthesis in recent years. This is because plant respiration is sensitive
to temperature, and it was affected by the recent slowdown in global warming
that was observed most significantly over vegetated land. So, between 2002 and
2014, plants took in more CO2 through photosynthesis, but did not "exhale"
more CO2 into the atmosphere through respiration.
"These changes decreased the amount of anthropogenic CO2 that stays in the
atmosphere, and thus slowed the accumulation of atmospheric CO2," says Keenan.
Their findings provide a possible answer to a climatic mystery. The growth
rate of atmospheric CO2 climbed steadily during the latter half of the 20th
century, from 0.75 ppm/year in 1959 to 1.86 ppm/year in 2002. But Keenan and
colleagues discovered an inflection point last year when they analyzed the
latest data from the Global Carbon Project, which quantifies carbon emissions
and their sources annually. Since 2002, the growth rate has remained flat.
This pause is especially surprising because it has occurred as human
activity pumps more and more carbon into the atmosphere. All that CO2 must be
going somewhere, so the scientists suspected something about the carbon cycle
has recently changed in a big way.
"We believed one of the planet's main carbon sinks had unexpectedly
strengthened. The question was: which one?" says Keenan.
The scientists ruled out oceans as a dominant cause because most computer
models agree the amount of carbon taken in by oceans has increased steadily in
recent years. That left terrestrial ecosystems, which undergo a large
year-to-year variability in carbon uptake, and the two biggest influences on
this variability are photosynthesis and plant respiration.
To study these influences, the scientists used ten "global dynamic
vegetation models" that predict how the terrestrial carbon cycle changes over
time.
They also used a model that incorporates satellite measurements of
vegetation cover and plant activity to predict global photosynthesis and
respiration rates. They validated the model by comparing its results
with data from AmeriFlux and FLUXNET, which are
networks of eddy-covariance research towers that measure ecosystem carbon,
water, and energy fluxes in North and South America. Berkeley Lab manages
AmeriFlux for the Department of Energy.
Model projections were generated using different scenarios of atmospheric
CO2 level, temperature, soil moisture, and other processes. This enabled the
researchers to evaluate the impacts of these processes on the planet's
terrestrial carbon cycle.
Taken together, the models zeroed in on rising CO2 levels as having the
biggest impact on photosynthesis and plant respiration. The result is a boost
in terrestrial carbon uptake, particularly in tropical and high-latitude
ecosystems. Specifically, the models suggest rising CO2 levels caused
terrestrial ecosystems to double the rate at which they take in carbon, from
between one and two petagrams of carbon per year in the 1950s, to between two
and four petagrams of carbon per year in the 2000s. For comparison, human
activity emits between nine and ten petagrams of carbon per year (one petagram
is one trillion kilograms).
The scientists conclude this increase in carbon uptake put the brakes on
the growth rate of atmospheric CO2 between 2002 and 2014.
"Unfortunately, this increase is nowhere near enough to stop climate
change," says Keenan, adding that their results answer questions and pose new
ones. "We've shown the increase in terrestrial carbon uptake is happening, and
with a plausible explanation why. But we don't
know exactly where the carbon sink is increasing the most, how long this
increase will last, or what it means for the future of Earth's climate."
Carbon-hungry plants impede growth rate of atmospheric CO2
November 8, 2016
New findings suggest the rate at which CO2 is accumulating in the
atmosphere has plateaued in recent years because Earth's vegetation is
grabbing more carbon from the air than in previous decades.
That's the conclusion of a new multi-institutional study led by a scientist
from the Department of Energy's Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory
(Berkeley Lab). It's based on extensive ground and
atmospheric observations of CO2,
satellite measurements of vegetation, and computer
modeling. The research is published online Nov. 8 in the journal Nature
Communications.
To be clear, human activity continues to emit increasing amounts of
carbon, and the atmospheric concentration of CO2, now at 400
parts per million (ppm), continues to rise. But the scientists found that
between 2002 and 2014, the rate at which CO2 increased in the
atmosphere held steady at about 1.9 ppm/year. In addition, the proportion
of the CO2 emitted annually by human activity that remains in the atmosphere
declined by about 20 percent. This slowdown can't keep pace
with emissions, so the overall amount of
human-caused CO2 in the atmosphere increased, just not as quickly. And for
that, new research suggests, we can thank plants.
"This highlights the need to identify and protect ecosystems where the
carbon
sink is growing rapidly," says Trevor Keenan, a research scientist in
Berkeley Lab's Climate & Ecosystem Sciences Division and the corresponding
author of the paper.
The scientists attribute the stalled CO2 growth rate to an uptick in
land-based photosynthetic activity, fueled by rising CO2 levels from fossil
fuel emissions. It's a snowball effect: as CO2 levels rise in the atmosphere,
photosynthetic activity flourishes and plants take in more carbon, sparking
more plant growth, more photosynthesis, and more carbon uptake.
They also identified another player. Plant respiration, a process in which
plants use oxygen and produce CO2, did not increase as quickly as
photosynthesis in recent years. This is because plant respiration is sensitive
to temperature, and it was affected by the recent slowdown in global warming
that was observed most significantly over vegetated land. So, between 2002 and
2014, plants took in more CO2 through photosynthesis, but did not "exhale"
more CO2 into the atmosphere through respiration.
"These changes decreased the amount of anthropogenic CO2 that stays in the
atmosphere, and thus slowed the accumulation of atmospheric CO2," says Keenan.
Their findings provide a possible answer to a climatic mystery. The growth
rate of atmospheric CO2 climbed steadily during the latter half of the 20th
century, from 0.75 ppm/year in 1959 to 1.86 ppm/year in 2002. But Keenan and
colleagues discovered an inflection point last year when they analyzed the
latest data from the Global Carbon Project, which quantifies carbon emissions
and their sources annually. Since 2002, the growth rate has remained flat.
This pause is especially surprising because it has occurred as human
activity pumps more and more carbon into the atmosphere. All that CO2 must be
going somewhere, so the scientists suspected something about the carbon cycle
has recently changed in a big way.
"We believed one of the planet's main carbon sinks had unexpectedly
strengthened. The question was: which one?" says Keenan.
The scientists ruled out oceans as a dominant cause because most computer
models agree the amount of carbon taken in by oceans has increased steadily in
recent years. That left terrestrial ecosystems, which undergo a large
year-to-year variability in carbon uptake, and the two biggest influences on
this variability are photosynthesis and plant respiration.
To study these influences, the scientists used ten "global dynamic
vegetation models" that predict how the terrestrial carbon cycle changes over
time.
They also used a model that incorporates satellite measurements of
vegetation cover and plant activity to predict global photosynthesis and
respiration rates. They validated the model by comparing its results
with data from AmeriFlux and FLUXNET, which are
networks of eddy-covariance research towers that measure ecosystem carbon,
water, and energy fluxes in North and South America. Berkeley Lab manages
AmeriFlux for the Department of Energy.
Model projections were generated using different scenarios of atmospheric
CO2 level, temperature, soil moisture, and other processes. This enabled the
researchers to evaluate the impacts of these processes on the planet's
terrestrial carbon cycle.
Taken together, the models zeroed in on rising CO2 levels as having the
biggest impact on photosynthesis and plant respiration. The result is a boost
in terrestrial carbon uptake, particularly in tropical and high-latitude
ecosystems. Specifically, the models suggest rising CO2 levels caused
terrestrial ecosystems to double the rate at which they take in carbon, from
between one and two petagrams of carbon per year in the 1950s, to between two
and four petagrams of carbon per year in the 2000s. For comparison, human
activity emits between nine and ten petagrams of carbon per year (one petagram
is one trillion kilograms).
The scientists conclude this increase in carbon uptake put the brakes on
the growth rate of atmospheric CO2 between 2002 and 2014.
"Unfortunately, this increase is nowhere near enough to stop climate
change," says Keenan, adding that their results answer questions and pose new
ones. "We've shown the increase in terrestrial carbon uptake is happening, and
with a plausible explanation why. But we don't
know exactly where the carbon sink is increasing the most, how long this
increase will last, or what it means for the future of Earth's climate."
Carbon-hungry plants impede growth rate of atmospheric CO2
November 8, 2016
New findings suggest the rate at which CO2 is accumulating in the
atmosphere has plateaued in recent years because Earth's vegetation is
grabbing more carbon from the air than in previous decades.
That's the conclusion of a new multi-institutional study led by a scientist
from the Department of Energy's Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory
(Berkeley Lab). It's based on extensive ground and
atmospheric observations of CO2,
satellite measurements of vegetation, and computer
modeling. The research is published online Nov. 8 in the journal Nature
Communications.
To be clear, human activity continues to emit increasing amounts of
carbon, and the atmospheric concentration of CO2, now at 400
parts per million (ppm), continues to rise. But the scientists found that
between 2002 and 2014, the rate at which CO2 increased in the
atmosphere held steady at about 1.9 ppm/year. In addition, the proportion
of the CO2 emitted annually by human activity that remains in the atmosphere
declined by about 20 percent. This slowdown can't keep pace
with emissions, so the overall amount of
human-caused CO2 in the atmosphere increased, just not as quickly. And for
that, new research suggests, we can thank plants.
"This highlights the need to identify and protect ecosystems where the
carbon
sink is growing rapidly," says Trevor Keenan, a research scientist in
Berkeley Lab's Climate & Ecosystem Sciences Division and the corresponding
author of the paper.
The scientists attribute the stalled CO2 growth rate to an uptick in
land-based photosynthetic activity, fueled by rising CO2 levels from fossil
fuel emissions. It's a snowball effect: as CO2 levels rise in the atmosphere,
photosynthetic activity flourishes and plants take in more carbon, sparking
more plant growth, more photosynthesis, and more carbon uptake.
They also identified another player. Plant respiration, a process in which
plants use oxygen and produce CO2, did not increase as quickly as
photosynthesis in recent years. This is because plant respiration is sensitive
to temperature, and it was affected by the recent slowdown in global warming
that was observed most significantly over vegetated land. So, between 2002 and
2014, plants took in more CO2 through photosynthesis, but did not "exhale"
more CO2 into the atmosphere through respiration.
"These changes decreased the amount of anthropogenic CO2 that stays in the
atmosphere, and thus slowed the accumulation of atmospheric CO2," says Keenan.
Their findings provide a possible answer to a climatic mystery. The growth
rate of atmospheric CO2 climbed steadily during the latter half of the 20th
century, from 0.75 ppm/year in 1959 to 1.86 ppm/year in 2002. But Keenan and
colleagues discovered an inflection point last year when they analyzed the
latest data from the Global Carbon Project, which quantifies carbon emissions
and their sources annually. Since 2002, the growth rate has remained flat.
This pause is especially surprising because it has occurred as human
activity pumps more and more carbon into the atmosphere. All that CO2 must be
going somewhere, so the scientists suspected something about the carbon cycle
has recently changed in a big way.
"We believed one of the planet's main carbon sinks had unexpectedly
strengthened. The question was: which one?" says Keenan.
The scientists ruled out oceans as a dominant cause because most computer
models agree the amount of carbon taken in by oceans has increased steadily in
recent years. That left terrestrial ecosystems, which undergo a large
year-to-year variability in carbon uptake, and the two biggest influences on
this variability are photosynthesis and plant respiration.
To study these influences, the scientists used ten "global dynamic
vegetation models" that predict how the terrestrial carbon cycle changes over
time.
They also used a model that incorporates satellite measurements of
vegetation cover and plant activity to predict global photosynthesis and
respiration rates. They validated the model by comparing its results
with data from AmeriFlux and FLUXNET, which are
networks of eddy-covariance research towers that measure ecosystem carbon,
water, and energy fluxes in North and South America. Berkeley Lab manages
AmeriFlux for the Department of Energy.
Model projections were generated using different scenarios of atmospheric
CO2 level, temperature, soil moisture, and other processes. This enabled the
researchers to evaluate the impacts of these processes on the planet's
terrestrial carbon cycle.
Taken together, the models zeroed in on rising CO2 levels as having the
biggest impact on photosynthesis and plant respiration. The result is a boost
in terrestrial carbon uptake, particularly in tropical and high-latitude
ecosystems. Specifically, the models suggest rising CO2 levels caused
terrestrial ecosystems to double the rate at which they take in carbon, from
between one and two petagrams of carbon per year in the 1950s, to between two
and four petagrams of carbon per year in the 2000s. For comparison, human
activity emits between nine and ten petagrams of carbon per year (one petagram
is one trillion kilograms).
The scientists conclude this increase in carbon uptake put the brakes on
the growth rate of atmospheric CO2 between 2002 and 2014.
"Unfortunately, this increase is nowhere near enough to stop climate
change," says Keenan, adding that their results answer questions and pose new
ones. "We've shown the increase in terrestrial carbon uptake is happening, and
with a plausible explanation why. But we don't
know exactly where the carbon sink is increasing the most, how long this
increase will last, or what it means for the future of Earth's climate."
Carbon-hungry plants impede growth rate of atmospheric CO2
November 8, 2016
New findings suggest the rate at which CO2 is accumulating in the
atmosphere has plateaued in recent years because Earth's vegetation is
grabbing more carbon from the air than in previous decades.
That's the conclusion of a new multi-institutional study led by a scientist
from the Department of Energy's Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory
(Berkeley Lab). It's based on extensive ground and
atmospheric observations of CO2,
satellite measurements of vegetation, and computer
modeling. The research is published online Nov. 8 in the journal Nature
Communications.
To be clear, human activity continues to emit increasing amounts of
carbon, and the atmospheric concentration of CO2, now at 400
parts per million (ppm), continues to rise. But the scientists found that
between 2002 and 2014, the rate at which CO2 increased in the
atmosphere held steady at about 1.9 ppm/year. In addition, the proportion
of the CO2 emitted annually by human activity that remains in the atmosphere
declined by about 20 percent. This slowdown can't keep pace
with emissions, so the overall amount of
human-caused CO2 in the atmosphere increased, just not as quickly. And for
that, new research suggests, we can thank plants.
"This highlights the need to identify and protect ecosystems where the
carbon
sink is growing rapidly," says Trevor Keenan, a research scientist in
Berkeley Lab's Climate & Ecosystem Sciences Division and the corresponding
author of the paper.
The scientists attribute the stalled CO2 growth rate to an uptick in
land-based photosynthetic activity, fueled by rising CO2 levels from fossil
fuel emissions. It's a snowball effect: as CO2 levels rise in the atmosphere,
photosynthetic activity flourishes and plants take in more carbon, sparking
more plant growth, more photosynthesis, and more carbon uptake.
They also identified another player. Plant respiration, a process in which
plants use oxygen and produce CO2, did not increase as quickly as
photosynthesis in recent years. This is because plant respiration is sensitive
to temperature, and it was affected by the recent slowdown in global warming
that was observed most significantly over vegetated land. So, between 2002 and
2014, plants took in more CO2 through photosynthesis, but did not "exhale"
more CO2 into the atmosphere through respiration.
"These changes decreased the amount of anthropogenic CO2 that stays in the
atmosphere, and thus slowed the accumulation of atmospheric CO2," says Keenan.
Their findings provide a possible answer to a climatic mystery. The growth
rate of atmospheric CO2 climbed steadily during the latter half of the 20th
century, from 0.75 ppm/year in 1959 to 1.86 ppm/year in 2002. But Keenan and
colleagues discovered an inflection point last year when they analyzed the
latest data from the Global Carbon Project, which quantifies carbon emissions
and their sources annually. Since 2002, the growth rate has remained flat.
This pause is especially surprising because it has occurred as human
activity pumps more and more carbon into the atmosphere. All that CO2 must be
going somewhere, so the scientists suspected something about the carbon cycle
has recently changed in a big way.
"We believed one of the planet's main carbon sinks had unexpectedly
strengthened. The question was: which one?" says Keenan.
The scientists ruled out oceans as a dominant cause because most computer
models agree the amount of carbon taken in by oceans has increased steadily in
recent years. That left terrestrial ecosystems, which undergo a large
year-to-year variability in carbon uptake, and the two biggest influences on
this variability are photosynthesis and plant respiration.
To study these influences, the scientists used ten "global dynamic
vegetation models" that predict how the terrestrial carbon cycle changes over
time.
They also used a model that incorporates satellite measurements of
vegetation cover and plant activity to predict global photosynthesis and
respiration rates. They validated the model by comparing its results
with data from AmeriFlux and FLUXNET, which are
networks of eddy-covariance research towers that measure ecosystem carbon,
water, and energy fluxes in North and South America. Berkeley Lab manages
AmeriFlux for the Department of Energy.
Model projections were generated using different scenarios of atmospheric
CO2 level, temperature, soil moisture, and other processes. This enabled the
researchers to evaluate the impacts of these processes on the planet's
terrestrial carbon cycle.
Taken together, the models zeroed in on rising CO2 levels as having the
biggest impact on photosynthesis and plant respiration. The result is a boost
in terrestrial carbon uptake, particularly in tropical and high-latitude
ecosystems. Specifically, the models suggest rising CO2 levels caused
terrestrial ecosystems to double the rate at which they take in carbon, from
between one and two petagrams of carbon per year in the 1950s, to between two
and four petagrams of carbon per year in the 2000s. For comparison, human
activity emits between nine and ten petagrams of carbon per year (one petagram
is one trillion kilograms).
The scientists conclude this increase in carbon uptake put the brakes on
the growth rate of atmospheric CO2 between 2002 and 2014.
"Unfortunately, this increase is nowhere near enough to stop climate
change," says Keenan, adding that their results answer questions and pose new
ones. "We've shown the increase in terrestrial carbon uptake is happening, and
with a plausible explanation why. But we don't
know exactly where the carbon sink is increasing the most, how long this
increase will last, or what it means for the future of Earth's climate."
Carbon-hungry plants impede growth rate of atmospheric CO2
November 8, 2016
New findings suggest the rate at which CO2 is accumulating in the
atmosphere has plateaued in recent years because Earth's vegetation is
grabbing more carbon from the air than in previous decades.
That's the conclusion of a new multi-institutional study led by a scientist
from the Department of Energy's Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory
(Berkeley Lab). It's based on extensive ground and
atmospheric observations of CO2,
satellite measurements of vegetation, and computer
modeling. The research is published online Nov. 8 in the journal Nature
Communications.
To be clear, human activity continues to emit increasing amounts of
carbon, and the atmospheric concentration of CO2, now at 400
parts per million (ppm), continues to rise. But the scientists found that
between 2002 and 2014, the rate at which CO2 increased in the
atmosphere held steady at about 1.9 ppm/year. In addition, the proportion
of the CO2 emitted annually by human activity that remains in the atmosphere
declined by about 20 percent. This slowdown can't keep pace
with emissions, so the overall amount of
human-caused CO2 in the atmosphere increased, just not as quickly. And for
that, new research suggests, we can thank plants.
"This highlights the need to identify and protect ecosystems where the
carbon
sink is growing rapidly," says Trevor Keenan, a research scientist in
Berkeley Lab's Climate & Ecosystem Sciences Division and the corresponding
author of the paper.
The scientists attribute the stalled CO2 growth rate to an uptick in
land-based photosynthetic activity, fueled by rising CO2 levels from fossil
fuel emissions. It's a snowball effect: as CO2 levels rise in the atmosphere,
photosynthetic activity flourishes and plants take in more carbon, sparking
more plant growth, more photosynthesis, and more carbon uptake.
They also identified another player. Plant respiration, a process in which
plants use oxygen and produce CO2, did not increase as quickly as
photosynthesis in recent years. This is because plant respiration is sensitive
to temperature, and it was affected by the recent slowdown in global warming
that was observed most significantly over vegetated land. So, between 2002 and
2014, plants took in more CO2 through photosynthesis, but did not "exhale"
more CO2 into the atmosphere through respiration.
"These changes decreased the amount of anthropogenic CO2 that stays in the
atmosphere, and thus slowed the accumulation of atmospheric CO2," says Keenan.
Their findings provide a possible answer to a climatic mystery. The growth
rate of atmospheric CO2 climbed steadily during the latter half of the 20th
century, from 0.75 ppm/year in 1959 to 1.86 ppm/year in 2002. But Keenan and
colleagues discovered an inflection point last year when they analyzed the
latest data from the Global Carbon Project, which quantifies carbon emissions
and their sources annually. Since 2002, the growth rate has remained flat.
This pause is especially surprising because it has occurred as human
activity pumps more and more carbon into the atmosphere. All that CO2 must be
going somewhere, so the scientists suspected something about the carbon cycle
has recently changed in a big way.
"We believed one of the planet's main carbon sinks had unexpectedly
strengthened. The question was: which one?" says Keenan.
The scientists ruled out oceans as a dominant cause because most computer
models agree the amount of carbon taken in by oceans has increased steadily in
recent years. That left terrestrial ecosystems, which undergo a large
year-to-year variability in carbon uptake, and the two biggest influences on
this variability are photosynthesis and plant respiration.
To study these influences, the scientists used ten "global dynamic
vegetation models" that predict how the terrestrial carbon cycle changes over
time.
They also used a model that incorporates satellite measurements of
vegetation cover and plant activity to predict global photosynthesis and
respiration rates. They validated the model by comparing its results
with data from AmeriFlux and FLUXNET, which are
networks of eddy-covariance research towers that measure ecosystem carbon,
water, and energy fluxes in North and South America. Berkeley Lab manages
AmeriFlux for the Department of Energy.
Model projections were generated using different scenarios of atmospheric
CO2 level, temperature, soil moisture, and other processes. This enabled the
researchers to evaluate the impacts of these processes on the planet's
terrestrial carbon cycle.
Taken together, the models zeroed in on rising CO2 levels as having the
biggest impact on photosynthesis and plant respiration. The result is a boost
in terrestrial carbon uptake, particularly in tropical and high-latitude
ecosystems. Specifically, the models suggest rising CO2 levels caused
terrestrial ecosystems to double the rate at which they take in carbon, from
between one and two petagrams of carbon per year in the 1950s, to between two
and four petagrams of carbon per year in the 2000s. For comparison, human
activity emits between nine and ten petagrams of carbon per year (one petagram
is one trillion kilograms).
The scientists conclude this increase in carbon uptake put the brakes on
the growth rate of atmospheric CO2 between 2002 and 2014.
"Unfortunately, this increase is nowhere near enough to stop climate
change," says Keenan, adding that their results answer questions and pose new
ones. "We've shown the increase in terrestrial carbon uptake is happening, and
with a plausible explanation why. But we don't
know exactly where the carbon sink is increasing the most, how long this
increase will last, or what it means for the future of Earth's climate."
Carbon-hungry plants impede growth rate of atmospheric CO2
November 8, 2016
New findings suggest the rate at which CO2 is accumulating in the
atmosphere has plateaued in recent years because Earth's vegetation is
grabbing more carbon from the air than in previous decades.
That's the conclusion of a new multi-institutional study led by a scientist
from the Department of Energy's Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory
(Berkeley Lab). It's based on extensive ground and
atmospheric observations of CO2,
satellite measurements of vegetation, and computer
modeling. The research is published online Nov. 8 in the journal Nature
Communications.
To be clear, human activity continues to emit increasing amounts of
carbon, and the atmospheric concentration of CO2, now at 400
parts per million (ppm), continues to rise. But the scientists found that
between 2002 and 2014, the rate at which CO2 increased in the
atmosphere held steady at about 1.9 ppm/year. In addition, the proportion
of the CO2 emitted annually by human activity that remains in the atmosphere
declined by about 20 percent. This slowdown can't keep pace
with emissions, so the overall amount of
human-caused CO2 in the atmosphere increased, just not as quickly. And for
that, new research suggests, we can thank plants.
"This highlights the need to identify and protect ecosystems where the
carbon
sink is growing rapidly," says Trevor Keenan, a research scientist in
Berkeley Lab's Climate & Ecosystem Sciences Division and the corresponding
author of the paper.
The scientists attribute the stalled CO2 growth rate to an uptick in
land-based photosynthetic activity, fueled by rising CO2 levels from fossil
fuel emissions. It's a snowball effect: as CO2 levels rise in the atmosphere,
photosynthetic activity flourishes and plants take in more carbon, sparking
more plant growth, more photosynthesis, and more carbon uptake.
They also identified another player. Plant respiration, a process in which
plants use oxygen and produce CO2, did not increase as quickly as
photosynthesis in recent years. This is because plant respiration is sensitive
to temperature, and it was affected by the recent slowdown in global warming
that was observed most significantly over vegetated land. So, between 2002 and
2014, plants took in more CO2 through photosynthesis, but did not "exhale"
more CO2 into the atmosphere through respiration.
"These changes decreased the amount of anthropogenic CO2 that stays in the
atmosphere, and thus slowed the accumulation of atmospheric CO2," says Keenan.
Their findings provide a possible answer to a climatic mystery. The growth
rate of atmospheric CO2 climbed steadily during the latter half of the 20th
century, from 0.75 ppm/year in 1959 to 1.86 ppm/year in 2002. But Keenan and
colleagues discovered an inflection point last year when they analyzed the
latest data from the Global Carbon Project, which quantifies carbon emissions
and their sources annually. Since 2002, the growth rate has remained flat.
This pause is especially surprising because it has occurred as human
activity pumps more and more carbon into the atmosphere. All that CO2 must be
going somewhere, so the scientists suspected something about the carbon cycle
has recently changed in a big way.
"We believed one of the planet's main carbon sinks had unexpectedly
strengthened. The question was: which one?" says Keenan.
The scientists ruled out oceans as a dominant cause because most computer
models agree the amount of carbon taken in by oceans has increased steadily in
recent years. That left terrestrial ecosystems, which undergo a large
year-to-year variability in carbon uptake, and the two biggest influences on
this variability are photosynthesis and plant respiration.
To study these influences, the scientists used ten "global dynamic
vegetation models" that predict how the terrestrial carbon cycle changes over
time.
They also used a model that incorporates satellite measurements of
vegetation cover and plant activity to predict global photosynthesis and
respiration rates. They validated the model by comparing its results
with data from AmeriFlux and FLUXNET, which are
networks of eddy-covariance research towers that measure ecosystem carbon,
water, and energy fluxes in North and South America. Berkeley Lab manages
AmeriFlux for the Department of Energy.
Model projections were generated using different scenarios of atmospheric
CO2 level, temperature, soil moisture, and other processes. This enabled the
researchers to evaluate the impacts of these processes on the planet's
terrestrial carbon cycle.
Taken together, the models zeroed in on rising CO2 levels as having the
biggest impact on photosynthesis and plant respiration. The result is a boost
in terrestrial carbon uptake, particularly in tropical and high-latitude
ecosystems. Specifically, the models suggest rising CO2 levels caused
terrestrial ecosystems to double the rate at which they take in carbon, from
between one and two petagrams of carbon per year in the 1950s, to between two
and four petagrams of carbon per year in the 2000s. For comparison, human
activity emits between nine and ten petagrams of carbon per year (one petagram
is one trillion kilograms).
The scientists conclude this increase in carbon uptake put the brakes on
the growth rate of atmospheric CO2 between 2002 and 2014.
"Unfortunately, this increase is nowhere near enough to stop climate
change," says Keenan, adding that their results answer questions and pose new
ones. "We've shown the increase in terrestrial carbon uptake is happening, and
with a plausible explanation why. But we don't
know exactly where the carbon sink is increasing the most, how long this
increase will last, or what it means for the future of Earth's climate."
Carbon-hungry plants impede growth rate of atmospheric CO2
November 8, 2016
New findings suggest the rate at which CO2 is accumulating in the
atmosphere has plateaued in recent years because Earth's vegetation is
grabbing more carbon from the air than in previous decades.
That's the conclusion of a new multi-institutional study led by a scientist
from the Department of Energy's Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory
(Berkeley Lab). It's based on extensive ground and
atmospheric observations of CO2,
satellite measurements of vegetation, and computer
modeling. The research is published online Nov. 8 in the journal Nature
Communications.
To be clear, human activity continues to emit increasing amounts of
carbon, and the atmospheric concentration of CO2, now at 400
parts per million (ppm), continues to rise. But the scientists found that
between 2002 and 2014, the rate at which CO2 increased in the
atmosphere held steady at about 1.9 ppm/year. In addition, the proportion
of the CO2 emitted annually by human activity that remains in the atmosphere
declined by about 20 percent. This slowdown can't keep pace
with emissions, so the overall amount of
human-caused CO2 in the atmosphere increased, just not as quickly. And for
that, new research suggests, we can thank plants.
"This highlights the need to identify and protect ecosystems where the
carbon
sink is growing rapidly," says Trevor Keenan, a research scientist in
Berkeley Lab's Climate & Ecosystem Sciences Division and the corresponding
author of the paper.
The scientists attribute the stalled CO2 growth rate to an uptick in
land-based photosynthetic activity, fueled by rising CO2 levels from fossil
fuel emissions. It's a snowball effect: as CO2 levels rise in the atmosphere,
photosynthetic activity flourishes and plants take in more carbon, sparking
more plant growth, more photosynthesis, and more carbon uptake.
They also identified another player. Plant respiration, a process in which
plants use oxygen and produce CO2, did not increase as quickly as
photosynthesis in recent years. This is because plant respiration is sensitive
to temperature, and it was affected by the recent slowdown in global warming
that was observed most significantly over vegetated land. So, between 2002 and
2014, plants took in more CO2 through photosynthesis, but did not "exhale"
more CO2 into the atmosphere through respiration.
"These changes decreased the amount of anthropogenic CO2 that stays in the
atmosphere, and thus slowed the accumulation of atmospheric CO2," says Keenan.
Their findings provide a possible answer to a climatic mystery. The growth
rate of atmospheric CO2 climbed steadily during the latter half of the 20th
century, from 0.75 ppm/year in 1959 to 1.86 ppm/year in 2002. But Keenan and
colleagues discovered an inflection point last year when they analyzed the
latest data from the Global Carbon Project, which quantifies carbon emissions
and their sources annually. Since 2002, the growth rate has remained flat.
This pause is especially surprising because it has occurred as human
activity pumps more and more carbon into the atmosphere. All that CO2 must be
going somewhere, so the scientists suspected something about the carbon cycle
has recently changed in a big way.
"We believed one of the planet's main carbon sinks had unexpectedly
strengthened. The question was: which one?" says Keenan.
The scientists ruled out oceans as a dominant cause because most computer
models agree the amount of carbon taken in by oceans has increased steadily in
recent years. That left terrestrial ecosystems, which undergo a large
year-to-year variability in carbon uptake, and the two biggest influences on
this variability are photosynthesis and plant respiration.
To study these influences, the scientists used ten "global dynamic
vegetation models" that predict how the terrestrial carbon cycle changes over
time.
They also used a model that incorporates satellite measurements of
vegetation cover and plant activity to predict global photosynthesis and
respiration rates. They validated the model by comparing its results
with data from AmeriFlux and FLUXNET, which are
networks of eddy-covariance research towers that measure ecosystem carbon,
water, and energy fluxes in North and South America. Berkeley Lab manages
AmeriFlux for the Department of Energy.
Model projections were generated using different scenarios of atmospheric
CO2 level, temperature, soil moisture, and other processes. This enabled the
researchers to evaluate the impacts of these processes on the planet's
terrestrial carbon cycle.
Taken together, the models zeroed in on rising CO2 levels as having the
biggest impact on photosynthesis and plant respiration. The result is a boost
in terrestrial carbon uptake, particularly in tropical and high-latitude
ecosystems. Specifically, the models suggest rising CO2 levels caused
terrestrial ecosystems to double the rate at which they take in carbon, from
between one and two petagrams of carbon per year in the 1950s, to between two
and four petagrams of carbon per year in the 2000s. For comparison, human
activity emits between nine and ten petagrams of carbon per year (one petagram
is one trillion kilograms).
The scientists conclude this increase in carbon uptake put the brakes on
the growth rate of atmospheric CO2 between 2002 and 2014.
"Unfortunately, this increase is nowhere near enough to stop climate
change," says Keenan, adding that their results answer questions and pose new
ones. "We've shown the increase in terrestrial carbon uptake is happening, and
with a plausible explanation why. But we don't
know exactly where the carbon sink is increasing the most, how long this
increase will last, or what it means for the future of Earth's climate."
Carbon-hungry plants impede growth rate of atmospheric CO2
November
8, 2016
Changes in
the growth rate of atmospheric carbon dioxide. The black line is the observed
growth rate and the beige line is the modelled rate. The red line indicates a
significant increasing trend in the growth rate from 1959 to 2002, and …more
New
findings suggest the rate at which CO2 is accumulating in the atmosphere has
plateaued in recent years because Earth's vegetation is grabbing more carbon
from the air than in previous decades.
That's the
conclusion of a new multi-institutional study led by a scientist from the
Department of Energy's Lawrence Berkeley National
Laboratory (Berkeley Lab). It's based on extensive ground and
atmospheric
observations of CO2,
satellite measurements of vegetation, and computer modeling. The research is
published online Nov. 8 in the journal Nature Communications.
To be
clear, human activity
continues to emit increasing amounts of carbon, and the
atmospheric
concentration of CO2, now at 400 parts per million (ppm), continues to rise.
But the scientists found that between 2002 and 2014, the rate at which CO2
increased in the atmosphere held
steady at about 1.9 ppm/year. In addition, the proportion of the CO2 emitted
annually by human activity that remains in the atmosphere declined by about 20
percent. This slowdown can't keep pace with emissions, so the overall amount of
human-caused CO2 in the atmosphere increased, just not as quickly. And for that,
new research suggests, we can thank plants.
"This
highlights the need to identify and protect ecosystems where the
carbon sink is growing rapidly,"
says Trevor Keenan, a research scientist in Berkeley Lab's Climate & Ecosystem
Sciences Division and the corresponding author of the paper.
The
scientists attribute the stalled CO2 growth rate to an uptick in land-based
photosynthetic activity, fueled by rising CO2 levels from fossil fuel emissions.
It's a snowball effect: as CO2 levels rise in the atmosphere, photosynthetic
activity flourishes and plants take in more carbon, sparking more plant growth,
more photosynthesis, and more carbon uptake.
They also
identified another player. Plant respiration, a process in which plants use
oxygen and produce CO2, did not increase as quickly as photosynthesis in recent
years. This is because plant respiration is sensitive to temperature, and it was
affected by the recent slowdown in global warming that was observed most
significantly over vegetated land. So, between 2002 and 2014, plants took in
more CO2 through photosynthesis, but did not "exhale" more CO2 into the
atmosphere through respiration.
"These
changes decreased the amount of anthropogenic CO2 that stays in the atmosphere,
and thus slowed the accumulation of atmospheric CO2," says Keenan.
Their
findings provide a possible answer to a climatic mystery. The growth rate of
atmospheric CO2 climbed steadily during the latter half of the 20th century,
from 0.75 ppm/year in 1959 to 1.86 ppm/year in 2002. But Keenan and colleagues
discovered an inflection point last year when they analyzed the latest data from
the Global Carbon Project, which quantifies carbon emissions and their sources
annually. Since 2002, the growth rate has remained flat.
This pause
is especially surprising because it has occurred as human activity pumps more
and more carbon into the atmosphere. All that CO2 must be going somewhere, so
the scientists suspected something about the carbon cycle has recently changed
in a big way.
"We
believed one of the planet's main carbon sinks had unexpectedly strengthened.
The question was: which one?" says Keenan.
The
scientists ruled out oceans as a dominant cause because most computer models
agree the amount of carbon taken in by oceans has increased steadily in recent
years. That left terrestrial ecosystems, which undergo a large year-to-year
variability in carbon uptake, and the two biggest influences on this variability
are photosynthesis and plant respiration.
To study
these influences, the scientists used ten "global dynamic vegetation models"
that predict how the terrestrial carbon cycle changes over time.
They also
used a model that incorporates satellite measurements of vegetation cover and
plant activity to predict global photosynthesis and respiration rates. They
validated the model by comparing its results with data from
AmeriFlux and FLUXNET,
which are networks of eddy-covariance research towers that measure ecosystem
carbon, water, and energy fluxes in North and South
America. Berkeley Lab manages AmeriFlux for
the Department of Energy.
Model
projections were generated using different scenarios of atmospheric CO2 level,
temperature, soil moisture, and other processes. This enabled the researchers to
evaluate the impacts of these processes on the planet's terrestrial carbon
cycle.
Taken
together, the models zeroed in on rising CO2 levels as having the biggest impact
on photosynthesis and plant respiration. The result is a boost in terrestrial
carbon uptake, particularly in tropical and high-latitude ecosystems.
Specifically, the models suggest rising CO2 levels caused terrestrial ecosystems
to double the rate at which they take in carbon, from between one and two
petagrams of carbon per year in the 1950s, to between two and four petagrams of
carbon per year in the 2000s. For comparison, human activity emits between nine
and ten petagrams of carbon per year (one petagram is one trillion kilograms).
The
scientists conclude this increase in carbon uptake put the brakes on the growth
rate of atmospheric CO2 between 2002 and 2014.
"Unfortunately, this increase is nowhere near enough to stop climate change,"
says Keenan, adding that their results answer questions and pose new ones.
"We've shown the increase in terrestrial carbon uptake is happening, and with a
plausible explanation why. But we don't know exactly where the carbon sink is
increasing the most, how long this increase will last, or what it means for the
future of Earth's climate."